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The Nigerian Equity market opened the new week on a bullish note, as key performance indicators showed mixed outcomes. The NGX-ASI increased by +1.06%, while the Market Capitalization rose by +1.07%. The mixed performances of these indicators can be attributed to the additional listing of 2,252,142,858 Ordinary Shares of 50 Kobo Each Arising from the Conversion of Ellah Lakes Plc’s N6,306,000,000.00 Debt to Equity at N2.80 Per Share Trading. Consequently, the market index (All-Share Index) added 2,524.00 basis points in today’s trading session, reflecting a 1.06% increase to close at 240,743.19. Likewise, Market Capitalization gained ₦1,639.01 billion, representing a growth of 1.07%, settling at ₦154.48 trillion. The bullish performance reflected growing investor optimism, as sustained bargain hunting and buying interest in medium and large-cap stocks drove market momentum, while gains in AIRTELAFRI accounted for the bulk of the gains.
Furthermore, the Total Volume of trades and the Total Value traded increased by +18.72% and +7.82% respectively. Approximately 564.91 million units valued at ₦39,345.49 million were transacted across 49,230 deals. As regards volume, FIDELITYBK generated 10.54% to emerge the most traded, followed by ZENITHBANK (8.80%),
DANGSUGAR (7.66%), CHAMS (7.02%), and ACCESSCORP with 5.45%. On value traded, MTNN generated 20.42% of the total value of trade, thereby making it the highest traded on the exchange.
Meanwhile, on the best performers’ chart, GUINEAINS and AIRTELAFRI led by generating +10.00% each, then trailed by INTENEGINS (+9.89%), TRIPPLEG (+9.82%), CORNERST (+9.76%), MCNICHOLS (+9.40%), SOVRENINS (+8.63%), and twenty-six others. A total of twenty-two (22) stocks depreciated. With a price depreciation of -9.96%, REDSTAREX topped the worst performers’ chart, followed by PREMPAINTS (-9.93%), TRANSEXPR (-9.82%), ROYALEX (-9.38%), ABBEYBDS (-9.29%), and UNIVINSURE (-6.48%). Hence, the market breadth closed on a positive note, as there were 33 gainers and 22 losers.
Finally, the market sectoral performance was positive today as four of the five major market sectors appreciated. The Insurance sector led by +2.84%, followed by the Consumer goods sector (+0.18%), the Banking sector (+0.18%), and the Industrial goods sector (+0.07%). Only the Oil & Gas sector declined by -0.09%.
Following the recently released data by NBS, the country’s GDP stood at 3.89% in Q1’2026, marking a 18bps decline from the 4.07% recorded in Q4’2025. However, on a year-on-year basis, the growth rate in the first quarter of the year reflects a 78bps improvement compared to the 3.13% posted in Q1’ 2025.
Sectoral GDP Dynamics: Oil vs. Non-Oil
The non-oil sector contributed 96.08% to total GDP in Q1’2026 a decline from 97.13% in Q4 2025, but higher than 96.03% recorded in Q1 2025. Conversely, the Oil sector’s contribution increased by 1.05% to 3.92% in Q1’2026, from 2.87% in Q4 2025, but dropped by 0.05% when compared to 3.97% contributed in Q1’2025, due to reduction in crude oil production compared to the previous quarter. Furthermore, in terms of growth, the Oil sector receded by 4.22% points, recording a growth rate of 2.57% in Q1’2026, compared to 6.79% in Q4’2025. Likewise, the non-oil sector recorded real GDP growth of 3.94%, down by 0.05% points compared to 3.99% in Q4’2025.
The country’s crude oil production averaged 1.55mbpd in Q1’2026, which was lower than the daily average crude oil production of 1.62mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2025, and 0.03mbpd lower than the Q4’2025 production volume of 1.58mbpd.
Mixed Narrative in the Agricultural Sector
Agricultural sector posted a real growth rate of 3.15% in Q1’2026, a decline of 85bps from 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025. However, the sector’s performance expanded by 3.08% points when compared to Q1’2025, when it grew by 0.07%. The 85bps decline from the 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025 is a typical seasonal phenomenon in Nigerian agriculture. Q4 marks the peak main harvest season across the country, where crop production maximizes output, whereas Q1 marks the dry season and planting cycle, resulting in lower output momentum. In addition, the sector contribution to the GDP dropped, standing at 23.16% in Q1’2026, which was 550bps lower than 28.66% recorded in Q4’2025.
