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The Nigerian equity market opened trading for the week on a bullish note, as key market performance indicators (the NGX-ASI and Market Capitalization) both increased by 1.20%. Despite a negative breadth, the market extended the bullish momentum from the previous sessions as bargain hunting continued in mid-cap and blue-chip stocks, across key market sectors. Notable performers of the session included AIRTELAFRI, ACCESSCORP, ZENITHBANK, GTCO, among others. Consequently, the market index (All-Share Index) added 2,956.15 basis points in today’s trading session, reflecting a +1.20% increase to close at 248,529.75. Likewise, Market Capitalization gained ₦1,908.15 billion, representing a growth of +1.20%, settling at ₦160.42 trillion.
However, the Total Volume of trades declined by -25.11% while the Total Value traded, on the other hand, increased by +1.37% respectively. Approximately 1,137.19 million units valued at ₦27,016.92 million were transacted across 59,185 deals. As regards volume, FTGINSURE generated 39.15% to emerge the most traded, followed by ACCESSCORP (6.12%), CHAMS (4.76%), FIRSTHOLDCO (4.55%), and STERLINGNG with 3.72%. On value traded, FIRSTHOLDCO generated 20.11% of the total value of trade, thereby making it the highest traded on the exchange.
Meanwhile, on the best performers’ chart, FTGINSURE led by generating +10.00%, then trailed by CHAMS (+9.80%), NAHCO (+9.29%), AIRTELAFRI (+8.59%), SOVRENINS (+6.59%), PRESTIGE (+6.38%), and sixteen others. A total of twenty-four (24) stocks depreciated. With a price depreciation of -10.00%, AVACAP topped the worst performers’ chart, followed by ETI (-9.92%), CAVERTON (-9.09%), IKEJAHOTEL (-8.41%), FTNCOCOA (-8.37%), and CORNERST (-7.96%). Hence, the market breadth closed on a negative note, as there were 23 gainers and 36 losers.
Finally, the market sectoral performance was negative today as four of the five major market sectors declined. The Insurance sector led by -1.64%, followed by the Banking sector (-0.24%), the Oil & Gas sector (-0.09%), and the Industrial goods sector (-0.05%). Only the Consumer goods sector increased by +0.76%.
Following the recently released data by NBS, the country’s GDP stood at 3.89% in Q1’2026, marking a 18bps decline from the 4.07% recorded in Q4’2025. However, on a year-on-year basis, the growth rate in the first quarter of the year reflects a 78bps improvement compared to the 3.13% posted in Q1’ 2025.
Sectoral GDP Dynamics: Oil vs. Non-Oil
The non-oil sector contributed 96.08% to total GDP in Q1’2026 a decline from 97.13% in Q4 2025, but higher than 96.03% recorded in Q1 2025. Conversely, the Oil sector’s contribution increased by 1.05% to 3.92% in Q1’2026, from 2.87% in Q4 2025, but dropped by 0.05% when compared to 3.97% contributed in Q1’2025, due to reduction in crude oil production compared to the previous quarter. Furthermore, in terms of growth, the Oil sector receded by 4.22% points, recording a growth rate of 2.57% in Q1’2026, compared to 6.79% in Q4’2025. Likewise, the non-oil sector recorded real GDP growth of 3.94%, down by 0.05% points compared to 3.99% in Q4’2025.
The country’s crude oil production averaged 1.55mbpd in Q1’2026, which was lower than the daily average crude oil production of 1.62mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2025, and 0.03mbpd lower than the Q4’2025 production volume of 1.58mbpd.
Mixed Narrative in the Agricultural Sector
Agricultural sector posted a real growth rate of 3.15% in Q1’2026, a decline of 85bps from 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025. However, the sector’s performance expanded by 3.08% points when compared to Q1’2025, when it grew by 0.07%. The 85bps decline from the 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025 is a typical seasonal phenomenon in Nigerian agriculture. Q4 marks the peak main harvest season across the country, where crop production maximizes output, whereas Q1 marks the dry season and planting cycle, resulting in lower output momentum. In addition, the sector contribution to the GDP dropped, standing at 23.16% in Q1’2026, which was 550bps lower than 28.66% recorded in Q4’2025.
