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The Nigerian equity market closed the week in bearish territory, as key market performance indicators (the NGX-ASI and Market Capitalization) both recorded a loss of -0.66%. The market sustained its downward trajectory for the third consecutive session, driven by widespread profit-taking in medium and large cap stocks, across all key market sectors. Shedding -4.66% and -2.23% respectively, the Oil & Gas sector and the Insurance sector led the declines as ARADEL, JAPAULGOLD, INTENEGINS, CORNERST, AIICO, and others, posted significant losses today. Specifically, the market index (All-Share Index) fell by -1,531.81 basis points in today’s trading session, indicating a -0.66% decline to close at 232,049.02, while Market Capitalization fell by ₦982.96 billion, representing a decline of -0.66%, settling at ₦148.91 trillion. Despite the early week rally, the overall market posted a negative week-on-week performance as NGX-ASI lost -1.65%, while investors’ wealth also declined by approximately ₦2.42 trillion.
Furthermore, the Total Volume of trades and the Total Value traded declined by -1.26% and -4.07% respectively. Approximately 388.69 million units valued at ₦18,430.61 million were transacted across 44,631 deals. As regards volume, ACCESSCORP generated 8.57% to emerge the most traded, followed by WEMABANK (6.28%), DEAPCAP (6.21%), CHAMS (4.90%), and STERLINGNG with 4.47%. On value traded, ARADEL generated 23.41% of the total value of trade, thereby making it the highest traded on the exchange.
Meanwhile, on the best performers’ chart, UNIVINSURE led by generating +6.32%, then trailed by MCNICHOLS (+5.52%), LINKASSURE (+4.67%), NGXGROUP (+4.35%), TRANSCORP (+3.62%), VERITASKAP (+3.57%), and seven others. A total of thirty-seven (37) stocks depreciated. With a price depreciation of -10.00% each, ARADEL topped the worst performers’ chart, followed by INTENEGINS (-9.95%), TRANSEXPR (-9.89%), ETRANZACT (-9.79%), UPDC (-9.72%), and ROYALEX (-9.66%). Hence, the market breadth closed on a negative note, as there were 13 gainers and 37 losers.
Finally, the market sectoral performance was negative today as all five major market sectors declined. The Oil & Gas sector led by -4.66%, followed by the Insurance sector (-2.23%), the Consumer Goods sector (-0.96%), the Banking sector (-0.28%), and the Industrial goods sector (-0.002%).
Following the recently released data by NBS, the country’s GDP stood at 3.89% in Q1’2026, marking a 18bps decline from the 4.07% recorded in Q4’2025. However, on a year-on-year basis, the growth rate in the first quarter of the year reflects a 78bps improvement compared to the 3.13% posted in Q1’ 2025.
Sectoral GDP Dynamics: Oil vs. Non-Oil
The non-oil sector contributed 96.08% to total GDP in Q1’2026 a decline from 97.13% in Q4 2025, but higher than 96.03% recorded in Q1 2025. Conversely, the Oil sector’s contribution increased by 1.05% to 3.92% in Q1’2026, from 2.87% in Q4 2025, but dropped by 0.05% when compared to 3.97% contributed in Q1’2025, due to reduction in crude oil production compared to the previous quarter. Furthermore, in terms of growth, the Oil sector receded by 4.22% points, recording a growth rate of 2.57% in Q1’2026, compared to 6.79% in Q4’2025. Likewise, the non-oil sector recorded real GDP growth of 3.94%, down by 0.05% points compared to 3.99% in Q4’2025.
The country’s crude oil production averaged 1.55mbpd in Q1’2026, which was lower than the daily average crude oil production of 1.62mbpd recorded in the same quarter of 2025, and 0.03mbpd lower than the Q4’2025 production volume of 1.58mbpd.
Mixed Narrative in the Agricultural Sector
Agricultural sector posted a real growth rate of 3.15% in Q1’2026, a decline of 85bps from 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025. However, the sector’s performance expanded by 3.08% points when compared to Q1’2025, when it grew by 0.07%. The 85bps decline from the 4.00% growth recorded in Q4’2025 is a typical seasonal phenomenon in Nigerian agriculture. Q4 marks the peak main harvest season across the country, where crop production maximizes output, whereas Q1 marks the dry season and planting cycle, resulting in lower output momentum. In addition, the sector contribution to the GDP dropped, standing at 23.16% in Q1’2026, which was 550bps lower than 28.66% recorded in Q4’2025.
